山东大学耳鼻喉眼学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (6): 36-41.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1673-3770.0.2020.053
范黎,黎越,徐细明
FAN Li, LI Yue, XU Ximing
摘要: 目的 探讨局部晚期鼻咽癌同步放化疗前后外周血中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比(NLR)和血小板与淋巴细胞比(PLR)的变化及对鼻咽癌复发的预测作用。 方法 回顾性分析初诊为局部晚期鼻咽癌并行同步放化疗229例患者病历资料,记录同步放化疗前后患者的中性粒细胞、血小板和淋巴细胞值,计算相应的NLR和PLR、ΔNLR和ΔPLR,使用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC),确定NLR和PLR、ΔNLR和ΔPLR的最佳临界值,并根据最佳临界值将ΔNLR和ΔPLR分别分为高低水平两组;使用Cox风险模型分析和Kaplan-Meier分析确定肿瘤复发的独立危险因素以及ΔNLR和ΔPLR对生存的影响。 结果 以肿瘤复发为结果,NLR和PLR、ΔNLR和ΔPLR的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.680、0.678、0.854和0.730, 最佳临界值分别为2.730、135.550、4.982和122.553;单因素分析显示:T分期、N分期、临床分期、诱导/辅助化疗史NLR、PLR、ΔNLR、ΔPLR为鼻咽癌复发的相关因素,进一步行多因素分析提示T分期、N分期、ΔNLR、ΔPLR是鼻咽癌复发的独立危险因素;生存分析显示,ΔHNLR和ΔHPLR组的2年无复发生存率均低于ΔLNLR和ΔLPLR组(ΔHNLR vs. ΔLNLR=0.488 vs. 0.993;ΔHPLR vs. ΔLPLR=0.476 vs. 0.935),ΔHNLR和ΔHPLR组的中位无复发生存时间均为23个月。 结论 局部晚期鼻咽癌患者的NLR和PLR总体水平在同步放化疗后有所增加,治疗前后NLR和PLR差值越大肿瘤预后越差,且ΔNLR和ΔPLR可作为肿瘤复发的预测指标。
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